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Refined short-term traffic flow prediction model and migration deployment scheme
Jiachen GUO, Yushen YANG, Yan WANG, Shilong MAO, Lijun SUN
Journal of Computer Applications    2022, 42 (6): 1748-1755.   DOI: 10.11772/j.issn.1001-9081.2021061411
Abstract327)   HTML6)    PDF (3372KB)(44)       Save

Refined short-term traffic flow prediction is the premise to ensure the rational decision making in Intelligent Transportation System (ITS). In order to establish the lane-changing model of self-driving car, predict vehicle trajectories, and guide vehicle routes, the timely traffic flow prediction for each lane has become an urgent problem to solve. However, refined short-term traffic flow prediction faces the following challenges: first, with the increasing diversity of traffic flow data, the traditional prediction methods cannot meet the requirements of ITS for high precision and short time delay; second, training prediction model for each lane make a huge waste of resources. To solve the above problems, a refined short-term traffic flow prediction model combined Convolutional-Gated Recurrent Unit (Conv-GRU) with Grey Relational Analysis (GRA) was proposed to predict lane flow. Considering the characteristics of long training time and relatively short reasoning time of deep learning, a cloud-fog deployment scheme was designed. Meanwhile, to avoid training prediction models for each lane, a model migration deployment scheme was proposed, which only needs to train the prediction model of some lanes, and then the trained prediction models were migrated to the associated lane for prediction through GRA. Experimental results of extensive comparisons on a real-world dataset show that, compared with traditional deep learning prediction methods, the proposed model has more accurate prediction performance; compared with Convolutional-Long Short-Term Memory (Conv-LSTM) network, the model has shorter running time. Furthermore, the model migration is realized by the proposed model under the condition of ensuring high-precision prediction, which saves about 49% of training time compared to training prediction model for each lane.

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